Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.898781 4.164854 4.448548 4.775015 5.142195 5.544613 6.022061
2025-09-14 3.378172 3.732360 4.131902 4.621295 5.212146 5.912719 6.822495
2025-09-21 3.076063 3.472624 3.936708 4.529727 5.282522 6.228918 7.548734
2025-09-28 2.872237 3.296197 3.806621 4.481131 5.373330 6.552334 8.304800
2025-10-05 2.730220 3.177154 3.728488 4.478851 5.508895 6.934879 9.190514
2025-10-12 2.645985 3.120097 3.718758 4.557387 5.752320 7.488465 10.426902
2025-10-19 2.568062 3.063296 3.701588 4.619187 5.972243 8.030483 11.756863
2025-10-26 2.481729 2.988599 3.653139 4.629642 6.112921 8.463537 12.995347
2025-11-02 2.377655 2.883732 3.555827 4.560115 6.121231 8.677356 13.869447
2025-11-09 2.269101 2.767089 3.435009 4.446117 6.046661 8.737006 14.443680
2025-11-16 2.185202 2.679834 3.350107 4.378721 6.038751 8.909535 15.301178
2025-11-23 2.138784 2.641491 3.331580 4.409170 6.192234 9.393842 17.012968
2025-11-30 2.084242 2.591341 3.296063 4.415029 6.312305 9.849701 18.877765
2025-12-07 1.992840 2.486160 3.176074 4.281046 6.178750 9.788965 19.367889
2025-12-14 1.922809 2.408478 3.092793 4.200177 6.131610 9.897709 20.391867
2025-12-21 1.868198 2.350465 3.035621 4.157171 6.147568 10.139725 21.929875
2025-12-28 1.828090 2.311598 3.005009 4.155152 6.237954 10.557921 24.272091
2026-01-04 1.808731 2.301758 3.017351 4.224646 6.469540 11.340368 28.482318
2026-01-11 1.786734 2.286999 3.021104 4.279268 6.677706 12.114134 33.415603
2026-01-18 1.755258 2.256982 2.999632 4.288504 6.795489 12.688250 38.097453
2026-01-25 1.709350 2.203986 2.939978 4.227059 6.761722 12.856674 40.855374
2026-02-01 1.656842 2.139688 2.860320 4.126161 6.637193 12.757660 41.992573
2026-02-08 1.615942 2.091766 2.805107 4.066419 6.595729 12.887856 44.828439